Margus Research · Original data

How often does the home team win?

Margus counted 8,512 final games across 10 leagues (September 8, 2023 to November 14, 2026): in the NFL, NBA, MLB and NHL combined, home teams won 4,076 of 7,536 games (54.1%).

8,512 games · Data from September 8, 2023 to November 14, 2026 · Updated November 14, 2026

Home-Field Advantage Statistics 2026: 8,512 Games Analyzed

Key findings

  1. Home teams won 152 of 285 NFL games (53.3%) in the 2025 season; 1 ended in a tie.

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  2. Home teams won 680 of 1,224 NBA games (55.6%) in the 2025-26 season.

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  3. Home teams won 1,282 of 2,409 MLB games (53.2%) in the 2026 season.

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  4. Home teams won 170 of 311 NHL games (54.7%) so far in the 2026-27 season.

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  5. Home teams won 42 of 100 Premier League matches (42.0%) so far in the 2026-27 season; 27 (27.0%) ended in a draw.

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  6. Home teams won 52 of 119 La Liga matches (43.7%) so far in the 2026-27 season; 31 (26.1%) ended in a draw.

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  7. Home teams won 51 of 110 Serie A matches (46.4%) so far in the 2026-27 season; 19 (17.3%) ended in a draw.

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  8. Home teams won 41 of 81 Bundesliga matches (50.6%) so far in the 2026-27 season; 17 (21.0%) ended in a draw.

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Results by league and season

League-seasons with at least 20 games. Ties or draws are games that ended level.

LeagueSeasonGamesHome winsAway winsTies or drawsHome win %Avg combined scorePast regulation
NFL2026 (in progress)1376769148.9%45.98.8%
NFL2025285152132153.3%46.05.6%
NFL2024270147123054.4%45.5n/a
NFL2023272155117057.0%43.4n/a
NBA2026-27 (in progress)1809585052.8%227.14.4%
NBA2025-261,224680544055.6%231.24.4%
NBA2024-251,224664560054.2%227.74.9%
NBA2023-241,224664560054.2%228.44.8%
MLB20262,4091,2821,127053.2%9.0n/a
NHL2026-27 (in progress)311170141054.7%6.322.8%
Premier League2026-27 (in progress)10042312742.0%2.7n/a
La Liga2026-27 (in progress)11952363143.7%2.9n/a
Serie A2026-27 (in progress)11051401946.4%3.1n/a
Bundesliga2026-27 (in progress)8141231750.6%3.5n/a
Ligue 12026-27 (in progress)9042282046.7%3.0n/a
MLS2026 (in progress)47621813412445.8%3.3n/a

Methodology

  • Source: final scores Margus collects from league data feeds (MLB Stats API, ESPN, NHL, TheSportsDB). A game counts only when the league's feed also published a box score for it, which keeps preseason and exhibition games out. Regular-season and postseason games are both included.
  • Each league's season is the feed's own season label. A season whose last game is within 10 days of the end of the data is marked as in progress ("so far").
  • Excluded: 0 duplicate rows, 0 games without a final score, 0 games whose feed status was not final, 0 tied scores in leagues that can't end in a tie (a data error), and 19 games in league-seasons with fewer than 20 games.
  • "Home team" is the team the league lists as home, including neutral-site games such as international series.
  • Overtime and shootout shares use the score feed's final-status code and are shown only where the feed reports a status for at least 90% of a season's games and records at least one overtime game; otherwise the table says n/a.
  • Shares are rounded to one decimal place. The study is recomputed once a day; "updated" is when the newest final score was stored.

Suggested citation

Margus Research, "Home-Field Advantage Statistics 2026: 8,512 Games Analyzed", https://margus.app/research/home-field-advantage (November 2026).

Also available as markdown. Every number on this page comes from one calculation that the markdown version, the FAQ and llms.txt also use.

Frequently asked questions

How often does the home team win in the NFL?

Home teams won 152 of 285 NFL games (53.3%) in the 2025 season; 1 ended in a tie. That is the home-field edge in Margus's count of final games with an official box score.

How often does the home team win in the NBA?

Home teams won 680 of 1,224 NBA games (55.6%) in the 2025-26 season. That is the home-court edge in Margus's count of final games with an official box score.

How often does the home team win in MLB?

Home teams won 1,282 of 2,409 MLB games (53.2%) in the 2026 season. That is the home-field edge in Margus's count of final games with an official box score.

How often does the home team win in the NHL?

Home teams won 170 of 311 NHL games (54.7%) so far in the 2026-27 season. That is the home-ice edge in Margus's count of final games with an official box score.

How often does the home team win in the Premier League?

Home teams won 42 of 100 Premier League matches (42.0%) so far in the 2026-27 season; 27 (27.0%) ended in a draw. That is the home-field edge in Margus's count of final matches with an official box score.

How often does the home team win in La Liga?

Home teams won 52 of 119 La Liga matches (43.7%) so far in the 2026-27 season; 31 (26.1%) ended in a draw. That is the home-field edge in Margus's count of final matches with an official box score.

How often does the home team win in Serie A?

Home teams won 51 of 110 Serie A matches (46.4%) so far in the 2026-27 season; 19 (17.3%) ended in a draw. That is the home-field edge in Margus's count of final matches with an official box score.

How often does the home team win in the Bundesliga?

Home teams won 41 of 81 Bundesliga matches (50.6%) so far in the 2026-27 season; 17 (21.0%) ended in a draw. That is the home-field edge in Margus's count of final matches with an official box score.

How often does the home team win in Ligue 1?

That is the home-field edge in Margus's count of final matches with an official box score.

How often does the home team win in MLS?

That is the home-field edge in Margus's count of final matches with an official box score.

Where does the home-field advantage data come from?

From 8,512 final games Margus stored between September 8, 2023 and November 14, 2026, counted only when the league's own feed published a box score, which leaves out preseason and exhibition games. Scores come from the league data feeds Margus collects; nothing is typed in by hand.

More original data

Other Margus research

Margus does not take bets. Past results and prices describe what happened; they don't predict any one game.